Chapter 5

Does my plan only work if nothing goes wrong?

Kế hoạch của tôi chỉ đúng khi mọi thứ suôn sẻ?

The chapter's question

If my largest customer paid sixty days late, what would happen?

Big idea

A sheet with only one scenario is only right when everything goes to plan.

In this chapter

  1. Part 5.1

    Three Scenarios

    Bad, normal, good, have I built all three?

  2. Part 5.2

    Your Riskiest Assumption

    Which assumption, if wrong, collapses the whole sheet?

  3. Part 5.3

    Trigger Points

    At what balance must I raise the alarm, and do what?

  4. Part 5.4

    A Plan for the Bad Case

    Have I written out the steps for the bad scenario?

The reading for this chapter is inside Conan School

This chapter has 4 readings, with case stories and exercises. Chapter 1 of The Next Thirteen Weeks is free to read right here.

Read in Conan School

Chapters of The Next Thirteen Weeks

  1. 1.Why thirteen weeks, and not a whole year?
  2. 2.Should my first forecast be pretty, or just done?
  3. 3.Why do cash forecasts die in week three?
  4. 4.What's an accurate forecast worth if nothing changes?
  5. 5.Does my plan only work if nothing goes wrong?